Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.049436 0.058155 0.067902 0.079600 0.093253 0.108676 0.127420
2025-07-20 0.036238 0.047604 0.061713 0.080481 0.104764 0.135098 0.175850
2025-07-27 0.028515 0.040808 0.057352 0.081173 0.114530 0.159515 0.224730
2025-08-03 0.023584 0.036233 0.054427 0.082391 0.124170 0.184144 0.276649
2025-08-10 0.020375 0.033285 0.052955 0.084937 0.135450 0.211945 0.336343
2025-08-17 0.016744 0.028926 0.048488 0.081954 0.137540 0.225873 0.376523
2025-08-24 0.014416 0.026206 0.046058 0.081627 0.143450 0.246057 0.428700
2025-08-31 0.012408 0.023653 0.043444 0.080461 0.147570 0.263514 0.478217
2025-09-07 0.011178 0.022266 0.042596 0.082157 0.156713 0.290365 0.546987
2025-09-14 0.009809 0.020379 0.040538 0.081278 0.160948 0.308874 0.602853
2025-09-21 0.008516 0.018425 0.038047 0.079167 0.162478 0.322431 0.650916
2025-09-28 0.007385 0.016615 0.035563 0.076679 0.162849 0.333677 0.695652
2025-10-05 0.006780 0.015844 0.035117 0.078372 0.172044 0.363576 0.781860
2025-10-12 0.006143 0.014902 0.034179 0.078903 0.178916 0.389690 0.863779
2025-10-19 0.005592 0.014063 0.033339 0.079513 0.186009 0.417067 0.951703
2025-10-26 0.005145 0.013399 0.032792 0.080692 0.194492 0.448361 1.051893
2025-11-02 0.004831 0.013006 0.032811 0.083184 0.206285 0.488267 1.176093
2025-11-09 0.004235 0.011798 0.030706 0.080261 0.204908 0.498245 1.232773
2025-11-16 0.003852 0.011084 0.029712 0.079940 0.209773 0.523205 1.327692
2025-11-23 0.003472 0.010316 0.028468 0.078798 0.212425 0.543174 1.412901
2025-11-30 0.003259 0.009980 0.028304 0.080460 0.222458 0.582251 1.550018
2025-12-07 0.002962 0.009350 0.027258 0.079598 0.225745 0.604864 1.648076
2025-12-14 0.002651 0.008627 0.025850 0.077530 0.225506 0.618435 1.724294